Every number on this platform has a source, a last-updated date, and a confidence level. This page explains exactly where data comes from, how scores are calculated, and what we never claim.
Every data point on VisaIQ is sourced from one of four places. We do not estimate from competitor websites or use data without a verifiable government source.
When VisaIQ shows "44% of similar profiles received an invitation within 12 months" — here is exactly what that means and how it is calculated.
The engine identifies profiles from the dataset that match your inputs across four dimensions: occupation group (same ANZSCO category), points band (within ±5 pts of your score), visa type targeted (189, 190, or 491), and state (same or comparable state). The percentage shown is the proportion of those matching profiles that received an invitation within the time window.
This is a historical rate, not a prediction. It shows what happened to people who looked like you in the past — not what will happen to you specifically, because migration policy changes and individual circumstances differ.
| Level | Sample size | What it means | Display |
|---|---|---|---|
| High | 500+ profiles | Statistically robust. Rates are likely representative of real patterns for this occupation and points band. | Narrow range e.g. "42–48%" |
| Moderate | 100–499 profiles | Directionally useful but confidence interval is wider. | Medium range e.g. "35–55%" |
| Low | Under 100 profiles | Limited data. Treat as directional indicator only, not a reliable estimate. | Wide range e.g. "20–65%" |
From the 2026 program year, DHA introduced a tiered occupation multiplier system for 189 skilled independent invitations. This is official DHA policy — not a VisaIQ estimate. The four tiers determine how many invitations each occupation receives:
Source: DHA FOI documentation and official SkillSelect round announcements, November 2025.
VisaIQ is a data publisher, not a migration agent. There are things we deliberately never say because they would be inaccurate, misleading, or outside our scope.
Every data type has a specific update schedule. Here is when each type was last updated and when to expect the next.
Part of being useful is being honest about what we cannot do.
Australia's migration policy can change with 24 hours notice. Historical patterns from 6 months ago may not reflect current reality. Always verify current rules with official DHA sources or a MARA agent.
Two people with identical points scores can have very different outcomes based on skills assessment, health history, character checks, and the case officer assigned. We show population-level patterns, not individual case predictions.
SkillSelect pool data is published quarterly with a 6-week lag. The actual pool at any moment could differ significantly from what we show. We note this in confidence intervals.
Most states do not publish a specific points cutoff. We estimate from observed invitation patterns and state government statements. These carry more uncertainty than federal DHA data.
For occupations with few community submissions, confidence is Low. We show this explicitly. Treat as directional indicators, not reliable estimates.
VisaIQ is a data platform, not a migration agency. We cannot advise on individual applications, provide legal interpretation of visa conditions, or represent you to the Department of Home Affairs.