2026 live data · 8 states · instant results

Which state will
nominate you
right now?

Instant probability score for all 8 Australian states. Based on your occupation, points, location and 2026 allocation data.

No signup required Updated June 2026 Based on real round data
State Nomination Probability Calculator
Enter your details — get your ranked probability
Free · No signup · 2026 data · all 8 states
Your state nomination success score
/100
All 8 states — ranked by your probability
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State probability is step one. The full report tells you exactly what to do — week by week.
Your exact EOI queue position + percentile
State nomination checklist for your top 2 states
Fastest legal path to add points (NAATI, partner, regional)
Week-by-week 12-month action plan
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2026–27 program year
All 8 states at a glance — places, cutoffs, processing
Use the tool above to get your personalised ranked probability. Below is the raw data for reference.
🟢
South Australia
Most Accessible
190 places1,350
Cutoff~65 pts
Processing5–8 months
Offshore?✓ Yes
RoundsMonthly
Apply via SA →
🟢
Tasmania
Fastest Rounds
190 places1,200
Cutoff~65 pts
Processing4–7 months
Offshore?✗ Must live in TAS
RoundsWeekly
Apply via TAS →
🟡
Queensland
Accessible
190 places1,850
Cutoff~75 pts
Processing6–10 months
Offshore?✓ Yes
Rounds4–6 weekly
Apply via QLD →
🟡
Western Australia
Job Preferred
190 places2,000
Cutoff~70 pts
Processing6–9 months
Offshore?With job offer
Rounds6–8 weekly
Apply via WA →
🟡
ACT / Canberra
Matrix System
190 places800
CutoffCanberra Matrix
Processing3–6 months
Offshore?Limited
All ACT = Regional?✓ Yes
Apply via ACT →
🟢
Northern Territory
Least Competitive
190 places850
Cutoff~65 pts
Processing4–8 months
Offshore?✓ Yes
2yr NT commitmentRequired
Apply via NT →
🔴
Victoria
Competitive
190 places2,700
Cutoff~85 pts
Processing8–12 months
Offshore?Limited
Rounds8–10 weekly
Apply via VIC →
🔴
New South Wales
Very Competitive
190 places2,100
CutoffMerit-based
Processing10–14 months
Offshore?Very limited
Rounds6–8 weekly
Apply via NSW →
Frequently asked questions
Can I apply to multiple states at the same time?
Yes — no restriction. Apply to your top 3 states simultaneously. Most state portals are free to register. The first nomination you receive is the one you act on. Do not wait for one state before applying to others.
How accurate is this probability score?
The score is calculated from real 2026 round data, published state allocation numbers, and cutoff points observed in recent rounds. It is a directional indicator — not a guarantee. State policies change between rounds. Always verify current requirements on the state's official portal before applying.
Does state nomination mean I have to live there forever?
For 190: you must live and work in the nominating state for at least 2 years after PR is granted. This is a legal commitment. For 491 Regional: you must live and work regionally for 3 years before applying for 191 permanent residence. Tasmania requires you live there for 6–9 months before even applying for nomination.
I'm offshore — which states can nominate me?
SA, QLD, NT and WA (with job offer) are the most offshore-friendly states. TAS requires physical residence. NSW and ACT are primarily onshore-focused. VIC has accepted offshore applicants in select rounds. Your probability score above reflects your offshore status.
My occupation isn't on a state's list — can I still apply?
Generally no — states only nominate occupations on their current occupation list. However, some states (SA's Talent & Innovation stream, NT's sponsored stream) accept occupations outside the standard list if you have a job offer. The probability score reflects current occupation list data.